After wrapping up an incredibly busy 2021, the Ultimate Fighting Championship (UFC) kicks off its 2022 this Saturday (January 15, 2022) at the familiar playground of UFC APEX in Las Vegas, Nevada. The main event of UFC Vegas 46 pits kickboxing ace Giga Chikadze and his undefeated record in the Octagon against Calvin Katter, last seen surpassing Dan Ige in five rounds. The other notable fight is the Flyweight Fireworks between Brandon Royval and Rogerio Bontorin.
What better way to start the year than by inflating your portfolio? Here’s how …
What happened at UFC Vegas 45?
It sucks to end the year on a loss, but at least it was less than $20. The bets were set up such that only two out of four had to hit to make a profit; unfortunately, Raoni Barcelos’ canceled fight meant the successful efforts of Mateusz Gamrot, Don’Tayle Mayes and Charles Jourdain weren’t enough enough to even things out.
We almost had something with that Justin Tafa/Macy Chiasson bet… and it would have been very funny to see both ladder failures come to fruition.
UFC Vegas 46 odds for the undercard:
Court McGee (-115) vs. Ramiz Brahimaj (-105)
Joseph Holmes (-150) against Jamie Pickett (+130)
Gabriel Benitez (-190) against TJ Brown (+160)
Brian Kelleher (N/A) vs. Kevin Croom (N/A)
Viacheslav Borshchev (-180) against Dakota Bush (+155)
Vanessa Demopoulos (-130) against Silvana Gomez Juarez (+110)
Thoughts: It can be competitive matchmaking, but there’s still value to be found, especially in Ramiz Brahimaj, Joseph Holmes, Viacheslav Borshchev and Silvana Gomez Juarez.
Court McGee has had two wins in the past five years: against Alex Garcia, who always gasps on his own, and Claudio Silva, who always gasps on his own. He also lost hugely winnable fights to Ben Saunders, Dhiego Lima and Carlos Condit along the way. It’s not exactly the most inspiring resume against a younger, physically superior grappler like Brahimaj.
In short, ‘The Crusher’ is far too inconsistent to be the favorite here, so capitalize on the bookies mistake.
The only things Jamie Pickett has going for him are height, reach, and durability, and he’s not even that good at using the first two. Holmes – who is taller than Pickett and has an equally long reach – is a capable boxer with a much more consistent output. While Holmes may lack a fight to make his case, I’m confident he can dispatch “Nightwolf” for a comfortable decision.
Although Borshchev still has a lot to prove, he has exactly the kind of skills to take down Dakota Bush. He’s the fastest, most technical and powerful striker by a huge margin, not to mention he’s very adept at getting back on his feet. Between Bush’s dodgy cardio and his inability to beat Austin Hubbard, who is regularly manhandled by takedown specialists, all signs point to Borshchev’s going to tear him down.
As for Gomez Juarez, she is a more capable striker than Vanessa Demopoulos, who is more playful than technically sound. Additionally, Demopoulos’ deadly submission game is undermined by his inability to hit takedowns. Don’t get too crazy, as Demopoulos is prone to heroic comebacks, but it’s worth it.
Regardless, that fight has been pushed back a week. Hit Katlyn Chookagian instead; enormous height and reach advantages.
UFC Vegas 46 odds for the main card:
Giga Chikadze (-235) vs. Calvin Kattar (+190)
Katlyn Chookagian (-180) against Jennifer Maia (+155)
Brandon Royval (-160) against Rogerio Bontorin (+140)
Jake Collier (-130) vs. Chase Sherman (+110)
Joanderson Brito (-130) against Bill Algeo (+110)
Thoughts: As much as I admire and respect Kattar’s capacity for violence, I really like the line on Chikadze, as well as those on Rogerio Bontorin and Jake Collier.
After several questionable performances, Chikadze has finally found his place in the cage, and the results are terrifying. I’m not saying he’s Max Holloway, but his varied, long-range offense is something Kattar has struggled against powerfully in the past. Without the struggle to take Chikadze’s kicks out of the equation, expect him to take down “The Boston Finisher.”
Royval’s problems with a technically adept and physically powerful grappler in Alexandre Pantoja boded ill against another tank in Bontorin. Bontorin has the scrambling skills to keep pace with Royval and the best overall wrestling game, which should earn him a win.
I was very dismissive of Jake Collier when he came to the Heavyweight division, but he won me over. Although dismantling Gian Villante wasn’t any kind of accomplishment, he gave Carlos Felipe everything he could handle. Sherman, meanwhile, is 1-5 in his last six fights in the Octagon and the lone victory has come by a disappointing light heavyweight in Ike Villanueva.
So here we go: give me some “The Prototype”.
Best UFC Vegas 46 bets:
- Parlay – Joseph Holmes and Viacheslav Borshchev: bet $80 to win $127.20
- Parlay – Ramiz Brahimaj and Jake Collier: Bet $80 to win $196
- Parlay – Giga Chikadze and Katlyn Chookagian: Bet $80 to win $97.40
- Parlay – Giga Chikadze and Rogerio Bontorin: Bet $60 to win $145.20
Honestly? Not great for a fight that COVID and injuries have shredded to the bone. See you Saturday, the Maniacs.
Initial investment for 2022: $600
Initial investment (boosted) for 2021: $600
Final total for 2021: $2,637.16 (339.52% ROI)
remember that MMAmania.com will provide live, round-by-round, blow-by-blow coverage of the entire UFC Vegas 46 fight card right here, starting with the ESPN+ “Preliminary” matches, which are due to start at 4 p.m. ET, then the remaining balance on the main card (also on ESPN+) at 7 p.m. ET.
For all the latest and greatest UFC Vegas 46: “Kattar vs. Chikadze” news and notes, be sure to check out our full event archive here.