Fans of spin and flight skills will be eating well this Saturday (November 6, 2021) when Max Holloway and Yair Rodriguez headline the Octagon’s return to UFC APEX in Las Vegas, Nevada. The main card that ESPN + airs will also feature a heavyweight fight between Ben Rothwell and Marcos Rogerio de Lima, as well as what could be absolute fireworks between Song Yadong and Julio Arce.
If last week’s pay-per-view (PPV) nibbled away at your funds for the month, I just have the ticket to top them up …
What went wrong with UFC 268?
Some fights ended much tighter than expected, but every bet was made resulting in the most successful night of the year. Can’t wait to continue!
UFC Vegas 42 Chances for the sub-map:
Thiago Moises (-250) against Joel Alvarez (+210)
Cynthia Calvillo (-120) vs. Andrea Lee (PAIR)
Miguel Baeza (-135) against Khaos Williams (+115)
Sean Woodson (-320) vs. Collin Anglin (+260)
Cortney Casey (-220) vs. Liana Jojua (+180)
Marc Diakiese (-175) against Rafael Alves (+155)
Da Un Jung (-115) vs. Kennedy Nzechukwu (-105)
Thoughts: Distributing our choices has worked well lately, so let’s do it again. Miguel Baeza, Cortney Casey, Marc Diakiese and Kennedy Nchukwu look like solid pickups.
Although “Caramel Thunder” has had a few missteps lately – namely a tough first round against Matt Brown and a subsequent decision loss to Santiago Ponzinibbio – it seems more than winnable for him. He’s a much sharper forward than Khaos Williams, who always throws wild combinations with his right chin, and those crushing kicks of his look are a particularly effective weapon here.
Worth a look, I would say.
The risk with Cortney Casey here is less his opponent’s skills and more his bizarre habit of making razor-sharp decisions. She’s tall enough and strong enough to take Liana Jojua down at her feet, but a bad combat IQ could very easily cause her to sink if he let “She-Wolf” get the better of her. Still, Jojua is several steps below Casey’s usual competition, so “Cast Iron” is still worth investing in.
I am not yet ready to write off Marc Diakiese. Drakkar Klose, Dan Hooker, Nasrat Haqparast and Rafael Fiziev are all very solid. And losing to them doesn’t make ‘Bonecrusher’ a bad fighter (I would take all four of them to beat Alves). Diakiese is taller, has a five-inch reach advantage, and has superior hitting bases, meaning as long as he doesn’t shoot straight into Alves’ guillotine he should be able to separate the Brazilian from a distance. .
As solid as Da Un Jung seemed against William Knight, it’s worth remembering that Sam Alvey beat him to his feet for much of their fight last year. Nzechukwu is tough and busy enough to win the hitting battle with massive volume, and he improves to stuff the outs as the rounds progress. Jung might be able to take him out, but I love that Nzechukwu just outshines him down the road.
You can also use Sean Woodson as a parlay anchor. He is far superior to Collin Anglin at the feet and has shown an increasing skill in defending takedowns.
A bit late addition, but I think Cynthia Calvillo might be worth your time. Andrea Lee is shot down by anyone who tries to do it, and for all her flaws, Calvillo is a skilled enough wrestler and superior control specialist to do the same.
UFC Vegas 42 Main Card Odds:
Max Holloway (-650) vs. Yair Rodriguez (+475)
Ben Rothwell (-150) against Marcos Rogerio de Lima (+130)
Felicia Spencer (-290) vs. Leah Letson (+245)
Kyle daukaus (-225) against Roman Dolidze (+185)
Song Yadong (-137) vs. Julio Arce (+117)
Thoughts: Ben Rothwell is undervalued, and the more confident among you could use Max Holloway to push an almost even line in the positives.
I love Marcos Rogerio de Lima. I also admit that Marcos Rogerio de Lima is an overweight light heavyweight with one of the worst cross country play I have ever seen. Indeed, he’s the only man in UFC history to experience a forearm strangulation (look at him), which functionally died out in mixed martial arts (MMA) at around the time people started wearing gloves. Rothwell is tough enough to take the best shot from ‘Pezao’ and bring it down until the Brazilian struggles with panic as usual, leaving his neck open for the starter before Rothwell’s signing.
I think anyone can agree that Holloway is a better and more conditioned forward than Rodriguez. Rodriguez’s only real hope in this match is to turn off Holloway’s lights all at once, and considering what we’ve seen “Blessed” absorb with a blink of an eye, that doesn’t seem likely. In short, Holloway slaps on a parlay.
I was also going to recommend Kyle Daukaus, but that fight was abandoned when Roman Dolidze retired. So, how are you.
Best UFC Vegas 42 bets:
- Parlay – Miguel Baeza and Cortney Casey: bet $ 150 to win $ 229.50
- Parlay – Marc Diakiese and Cynthia Calvillo: bet $ 100 to win $ 188
- Parlay – Kennedy Nzechukwu and Max Holloway: bet $ 120 to win $ 150
- Parlay – Sean Woodson and Ben Rothwell: $ 140 to make $ 166.60
UFC Vegas 42 offers some great matches here that you can’t miss. See you on Saturday, Maniacs.
Initial investment (boosted) for 2021: $ 600
Current total for 2021: $ 2,544.93
remember that MMAmania.com will provide live, blow-by-blow coverage of the entire UFC Vegas 42 fight map here, starting with the ESPN + “Preliminary” matches, which are scheduled to start at 1 p.m. ET, then the remaining primary card balance on ESPN + at 4 p.m. ET.
For the latest and greatest news and ratings from UFC Vegas 42: “Holloway vs. Rodriguez,” be sure to check out our full event archive. here.