We have two games on Sunday in the NBA, with the Milwaukee Bucks looking to tie their streak with the Brooklyn Nets and Denver Nuggets looking to extend their season in front of their home crowd against the Phoenix Suns.
Game 3 between the Bucks and the Nets was wild. There was late-game drama, clutch baskets, and ugly play. Much of it came from Joe Harris, who couldn’t buy a bucket, scoring just three points. He shot a terrible 1 for 10 from beyond the arc and 1 for 7 from a 3 point field, which really sounds like an outlier. His points prop opens at 12.5, and I take over.
This is still a clash with a Bucks team giving up 38.9% of their points at long distance, the third worst rate in the NBA. With Brooklyn still missing James Harden, Harris should get a ton of shots.
Staying in this game, I like the game here, despite the horrible display of shots in Game 3. Both teams shot below 38% from the field, but it was a ton of open shots that were. missed, which does not seem sustainable. Brooklyn, despite Harden’s absence, still has two of the league’s top scorers. Milwaukee is also playing at a breakneck pace, which should lead to better scoring days. Shots that didn’t fall in the last game probably do in Game 4, and I expect a final score that doesn’t look like the NBA of the early 2000s.
Finally, Denver is looking to avoid the sweep against the Suns on Sunday night. Nikola Jokic has done all he can to keep his squad, but they’ll need more from someone like Michael Porter Jr. It’s tough to sweep teams in the playoffs, and at home I think Denver is pulling out this one. Phoenix is favored by three on the road, and while he’s dominated this series, if I think Denver wins, he will obviously cover the gap here.