Week 7 of the USFL season kicks off Saturday with two games, then two more on Sunday.
Let’s break down our favorite bets for every USFL game this weekend!
Ben Hauver and Joey Carrion host The DFS Dose Podcast.
USFL odds and picks
New Jersey Generals vs. Tampa Bay Bandits
Ben Hauser: The playoff picture is starting to take shape with four weeks of regular season action remaining in the USFL’s inaugural season. Game 1 this weekend will be full of post-season implications as the New Jersey Generals take on the Tampa Bay Bandits.
Generals (-4) enter Week 7 in a “win and you’re in” situation. Fully healthy, New Jersey is clearly the better team in this game. However, dual-threat quarterback sensation De’Andre Johnson will miss this game, leaving Luiz Perez to command the offense under center.
Perez is no slouch, and luckily for him, the generals’ offense is full of talent in the skill positions. Wide receiver Kavontae Turpin has been a revelation — leading the league in receiving yards with 341. Darius Victor’s output as a rusher without Johnson available may be even greater. Victor leads the league with five rushing touchdowns and he has seen the third-most attempts of any running back this season (82).
On the other side of the ball, Tampa Bay is looking to keep pace with New Orleans in the standings as both teams try to secure the non-Stallions playoff spot reserved for the South Division.
Jordan Ta’amu was one of the league’s best quarterbacks for six weeks and ranks second in passing yards (1,167) and rushing touchdowns (9).
With no real offensive star outside of Ta’amu, the veteran signalman will have to put this team on their backs in what is shaping up to be a must-watch game. The Generals are the better team, but Tampa Bay should be extremely motivated because a loss would make their ability to make the playoffs an almost insurmountable climb. I suspect De’Andre Johnson’s absence might impact the Generals’ offense more than the four-point line suggests, but I know there won’t be a ton of runs scored.
New Orleans Breakers vs. Michigan Panthers
Joey Carrion: The New Orleans Breakers take on the Michigan Panthers in this Week 7 game between teams headed in different directions.
Michigan is 1-5 on the year, with their lone win over the lousy Pittsburgh Maulers. It’s a team in full swing. They released Shea Patterson this week; the former 1st overall pick in the entire USFL. Yes, you read that right.
Even though Patterson wasn’t good in the USFL, he didn’t last as long as Paxton Lynch. Whether the Panthers choose to start Paxton Lynch or Josh Love won’t matter. They can’t move the ball in attack and they can’t score points on the board.
Michigan has the second worst offense in the USFL and is averaging just 17.3 points per game. They also have the second-worst passing offense, which could be the reason for Patterson’s release.
Nevertheless, Michigan will play its Week 7 game with a new starting quarterback. The Panthers are a mediocre team, led by Jeff Fisher’s definition of mediocrity. This is not a team you want to bet on, period.
Birmingham Stallions vs. Pittsburgh Maulers
Hauser: It doesn’t get much more unbalanced than that.
As indisputable as it may seem, the undefeated Stallions are the best team in the USFL; The Maulers are the worst.
Imagine the 2021 Buffalo Bills taking on the infamous 2008 Detroit Lions 0-16. That’s the level of imbalance in this game.
In last week’s sixth straight win, the Stallions overcame the loss of top rusher CJ Marble with a fantastic performance from newly signed Bo Scarbrough who managed to rack up 105 rushing yards.
The only question mark Birmingham currently faces is the decision of coaches J’Mar Smith and Alex McGough to continue to split reps at quarterback. It would be more of a controversy if the results were not a repeat success.
As for the Maulers, Vad Lee is the third starting quarterback the team has fielded this season. There is speculation that he could be drawn in favor of lucky number four Roland Rivers if the team falls behind at the start of this game.
Ultimately, it’s hard to imagine the decisions of Maulers staff will have much of an impact here. Pittsburgh has lost three of its six games by 10 or more points and this game is shaping up to be (potentially) the biggest blowout of the season.
Philadelphia Stars vs. Houston Gamblers
Carrion: The Philadelphia Stars take on the Houston Gamblers in the USFL edition of Week 7 Sunday Night Football.
Philadelphia enters this game with a 3-3 record and is looking to make a push in the playoff race as the USFL regular season draws to a close.
The Stars have one of the best offenses in the USFL, averaging 23.5 points per game, which ranks them second in the league. Although the Stars didn’t struggle to score, they struggled to keep teams from scoring. They allowed 133 points this season, the second most in the USFL.
You might be wondering which team has allowed the most runs in the USFL? Well, that would be the Houston Gamblers.
Houston has allowed 136 points this season and 375.8 yards allowed per game. The Stars and Gamblers are teams that have no trouble scoring points, but also no problem letting opposing attacks do their thing.
Although both offenses are average in terms of yards per game, they are two offenses that are forced to operate at a faster pace because their defenses put them in negative play scripts. Philadelphia and Houston are 4-2 against most this year.
This is a prime place to bet the most as 43.5 is the highest total on the Week 7 chart and with good reason. This game features two high scoring teams; and cannot play defense.
The over bet is the strongest bet in this game and Houston +4.5 ranks well behind. Houston is a team that plays close games but constantly loses them. The
The players have lost their last three games in the last 10 seconds of play. Brutal.
In a seemingly balanced game, I give Houston the lead.